The Geopolitics of Climate

We learned today that the US has pulled out of the G7 climate pledge, which isn't surprising after Trump's announcement. While the easy thing is to read this announcement as yet another example of Republican climate denial, it might be more useful and perhaps even more alarming as yet another example of the US trying to remake the world order by fiat. Do recall that Trump also refused to endorse Article 5 of the NATO treaty, i.e., the mutual aid clause.

Now, I don't know where this is going, but it's clear - somewhat paradoxically - that climate change is an issue of some importance to the current administration, i.e., a geopolitical lever along with NATO forces in Europe, trade deals with China etc and the administration's position is that all of these levers are part of a "realist" foreign policy in which the US will try to extract as many gains as possible at the cost of other players if necessary. It's a zero-sum view of the world which won't end well.

In summary, the good news is that Climate Change is up there with war with Russia. The bad news is that Climate Change is up there with war with Russia.